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Supercomputer predicts which team will win UCL this season

Saturday, October 03, 2020

Current UEFA Champions League holders Bayern Munich are predicted to defend Europe’s top-tier club competition, according to data analysts FiveThirtyEight.

Hans-Dieter Flick’s men defeated Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 in the final as Bayern ended their sensational season with a treble.

And now FiveThirtyEight has predicted that Bayern have a 33 per cent chance of making the final and 21 per cent chance of retaining their championship status.

Manchester City were one of the favourites to win the Champions League last season until they were unceremoniously dumped out of the quarter-finals by Lyon.

However, FiveThirtyEight’s predictions have a 28 per cent chance of Pep Guardiola’s men reaching the final and 16 per cent chance of winning the competition this season.

Posted below are FiveThirtyEight’s predictions for the 2020-21 season of the Champions League.

Credit: PA

Basaksehir

  • Make round of 16: 2%
  • Make quarter-finals: <1%
  • Make semi-finals: <1%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Ferencvarosi

  • Make round of 16: 5%
  • Make quarter-finals: <1%
  • Make semi-finals: <1%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Lokomotiv Moscow

  • Make round of 16: 5%
  • Make quarter-finals: <1%
  • Make semi-finals: <1%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Midtjylland

  • Make round of 16: 8%
  • Make quarter-finals: <1%
  • Make semi-finals: <1%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Krasnodar

  • Make round of 16: 20%
  • Make quarter-finals: 4%
  • Make semi-finals: <1%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Marseille

  • Make round of 16: 19%
  • Make quarter-finals: 4%
  • Make semi-finals: <1%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Club Brugge

  • Make round of 16: 27%
  • Make quarter-finals: 6%
  • Make semi-finals: 2%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Dynamo Kiev

  • Make round of 16: 23%
  • Make quarter-finals: 57%
  • Make semi-finals: 1%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%
Credit: PA

Rennes

  • Make round of 16: 29%
  • Make quarter-finals: 7%
  • Make semi-finals: 2%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Lazio

  • Make round of 16: 37%
  • Make quarter-finals: 11%
  • Make semi-finals: 3%
  • Make final: <1%
  • Win final: <1%

Olympiacos

  • Make round of 16: 40%
  • Make quarter-finals: 37%
  • Make semi-finals: 4%
  • Make final: 3%
  • Win final: <1%

Shakhtar Donetsk

  • Make round of 16: 29%
  • Make quarter-finals: 10%
  • Make semi-finals: 3%
  • Make final: 1%
  • Win final: <1%

Borussia Monchengladbach

  • Make round of 16: 32%
  • Make quarter-finals: 12%
  • Make semi-finals: 4%
  • Make final: 1%
  • Win final: <1%

Ajax

  • Make round of 16: 41%
  • Make quarter-finals: 14%
  • Make semi-finals: 4%
  • Make final: 3%
  • Win final: <1%

Porto

  • Make round of 16: 46%
  • Make quarter-finals: 16%
  • Make semi-finals: 6%
  • Make final: 2%
  • Win final: <1%

Zenit Saint Petersburg

  • Make round of 16: 59%
  • Make quarter-finals: 22%
  • Make semi-finals: 8%
  • Make final: 3%
  • Win final: <1%
Credit: PA

Atalanta

  • Make round of 16: 59%
  • Make quarter-finals: 23%
  • Make semi-finals: 9%
  • Make final: 3%
  • Win final: 1%

RB Salzburg

  • Make round of 16: 40%
  • Make quarter-finals: 18%
  • Make semi-finals: 8%
  • Make final: 3%
  • Win final: 1%

Sevilla

  • Make round of 16: 71%
  • Make quarter-finals: 30%
  • Make semi-finals: 11%
  • Make final: 4%
  • Win final: 1%

Juventus

  • Make round of 16: 77%
  • Make quarter-finals: 33%
  • Make semi-finals: 13%
  • Make final: 5%
  • Win final: 2%

RB Leipzig

  • Make round of 16: 58%
  • Make quarter-finals: 29%
  • Make semi-finals: 13%
  • Make final: 6%
  • Win final: 2%

Manchester United

  • Make round of 16: 58%
  • Make quarter-finals: 29%
  • Make semi-finals: 13%
  • Make final: 5%
  • Win final: 2%

Inter Milan

  • Make round of 16: 61%
  • Make quarter-finals: 30%
  • Make semi-finals: 14%
  • Make final: 6%
  • Win final: 2%

Chelsea

  • Make round of 16: 81%
  • Make quarter-finals: 40%
  • Make semi-finals: 17%
  • Make final: 7%
  • Win final: 3%
Credit: PA

Borussia Dortmund

  • Make round of 16: 77%
  • Make quarter-finals: 39%
  • Make semi-finals: 17%
  • Make final: 7%
  • Win final: 3%

Atletico Madrid

  • Make round of 16: 67%
  • Make quarter-finals: 37%
  • Make semi-finals: 19%
  • Make final: 9%
  • Win final: 4%

Real Madrid

  • Make round of 16: 78%
  • Make quarter-finals: 49%
  • Make semi-finals: 27%
  • Make final: 14%
  • Win final: 7%

Paris Saint-Germain

  • Make round of 16: 82%
  • Make quarter-finals: 52%
  • Make semi-finals: 30%
  • Make final: 16%
  • Win final: 8%

Barcelona

  • Make round of 16: 94%
  • Make quarter-finals: 63%
  • Make semi-finals: 37%
  • Make final: 20%
  • Win final: 11%

Liverpool

  • Make round of 16: 92%
  • Make quarter-finals: 63%
  • Make semi-finals: 38%
  • Make final: 22%
  • Win final: 12%

Manchester City

  • Make round of 16: 95%
  • Make quarter-finals: 69%
  • Make semi-finals: 45%
  • Make final: 28%
  • Win final: 16%

Bayern Munich

  • Make round of 16: 89%
  • Make quarter-finals: 68%
  • Make semi-finals: 49%
  • Make final: 33%
  • Win final: 21%

The post Supercomputer predicts which team will win UCL this season appeared first on Sporting Life.

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